2021 Ford escape S
$12,999
-19.1% over (target 10%)
?
2021 Ford escape S
Newark, CA
facebook (facebook)
Nov 02 07:16
unknown / unknown
private
—
status: new
Verdict: Overpriced
- Asking $12,999 vs $10,916 adjusted market value from 33 comps (medium confidence).
- 19% over market; a fair ask is about $10,916 and your buy price $9,824.
- Private seller: more room to negotiate, no dealer fees.
- Title status not stated; confirm it is clean before trusting the value.
Risks
medium Title status not stated: verify before paying anything
medium Accident history unverified: no report attached
medium No VIN: cannot decode or run a history report
medium Expected net $-7,144 is below your minimum $1,000
Valuation confidence: medium
$10,916
$9,804
$9,020 / $10,392
33 · 19.1% · 0.0 days
5.0%/yr (fitted from 92 listings across 10 model years)
condition ×1.0, title ×0.97, accident ×0.97, hold ×0.926, ask→sale ×0.97
Basis: median of 33 adjusted asking-price comps.
Comparables are asking prices, not verified transactions. Title and accident history are unverified unless a report was attached. Market conditions can change over the hold period; this is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Comparables (asking prices, adjusted to this vehicle)
| Comp | Asking | Adjusted | Adjustments | Seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Ford escape S Sport Utility 4D 82126 mi · private · facebook · Newark, CA |
$8,900 | $10,190 | year 2019->2021: x1.14 | Nov 02 07:16 |
| Used 2023 Ford Escape Active 74649 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,991 | $10,666 | year 2023->2021: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2020 Ford Escape S 61164 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,195 | $12,266 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2021 Ford Escape SE 75111 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$11,900 | $11,186 | dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2020 Ford Escape S 16000 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,900 | $12,975 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2020 Ford Escape SE 73860 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$11,995 | $12,065 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2021 Ford Escape SE 83232 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$11,500 | $10,810 | dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2020 Ford Escape SE 81093 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$11,901 | $11,970 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Certified 2020 Ford Escape SE 75768 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,995 | $13,070 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2020 Ford Escape SE 83715 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,988 | $13,063 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2021 Ford Escape S 82254 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,895 | $12,121 | dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2022 Ford Escape SE 81260 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,671 | $11,132 | year 2022->2021: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2022 Ford Escape SE 77702 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,299 | $10,805 | year 2022->2021: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| Used 2021 Ford Escape S 81720 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$11,995 | $11,275 | dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:36 |
| 2020 Ford escape SE Sport Utility 4D ? mi · private · facebook · Portland, OR |
$10,995 | $11,765 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2021 Ford escape SE Sport SUV 4D ? mi · private · facebook · Santa Ana, CA |
$10,195 | $10,195 | — | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2022 Ford escape ? mi · private · facebook · Fresno, CA |
$11,999 | $11,214 | year 2022->2021: x0.93 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2023 Ford escape active awd 74382 mi · private · facebook · Layton, UT |
$12,476 | $10,897 | year 2023->2021: x0.87 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2021 Ford escape Active Sport Utility 4D ? mi · private · facebook · Salem, OR |
$7,800 | $7,800 | — | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2019 Ford escape ? mi · private · facebook · Las Vegas, NV |
$8,900 | $10,190 | year 2019->2021: x1.14 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2020 Ford escape S Sport Utility 4D 47450 mi · private · facebook · Sacramento, CA |
$10,500 | $11,235 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2020 Ford escape ? mi · private · facebook · San Luis Obispo, CA |
$17,990 | $19,249 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 30 07:19 |
| Used 2020 Ford Escape SE 43525 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,964 | $13,039 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 30 07:16 |
| 2020 Ford escape sel awd 4dr suv ? mi · private · facebook · Moses Lake, WA |
$15,199 | $16,263 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 29 07:26 |
| 2022 Ford escape se 4dr suv ? mi · private · facebook · Moses Lake, WA |
$18,699 | $17,476 | year 2022->2021: x0.93 | Oct 29 07:26 |
| 2020 Ford escape S 79809 mi · private · facebook · Turlock, CA |
$12,311 | $13,173 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 29 07:25 |
| Certified 2022 Ford Escape SE 73206 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,770 | $11,219 | year 2022->2021: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 29 07:12 |
| 2019 Ford escape ? mi · private · facebook · Santa Ana, CA |
$10,133 | $11,601 | year 2019->2021: x1.14 | Oct 28 18:20 |
| 2020 Ford escape SE Sport Utility 4D ? mi · private · facebook · Portland, OR |
$10,995 | $11,765 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 28 15:13 |
| 2020 Ford escape ? mi · private · facebook · Moses Lake, WA |
$14,999 | $16,049 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 27 07:10 |
| 2020 Ford escape SE Sport Utility 4D ? mi · private · facebook · Coronado, CA |
$12,900 | $13,803 | year 2020->2021: x1.07 | Oct 27 07:10 |
| 2022 Ford escape ? mi · private · facebook · Santa Clarita, CA |
$12,400 | $11,589 | year 2022->2021: x0.93 | Oct 27 07:10 |
| Used 2020 Ford Escape S 50624 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$11,499 | $11,566 | year 2020->2021: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 26 00:15 |
Add comparables (CCC-style paste)
One per line: year make model | mileage | price | site | url. Example: 2019 Toyota Tacoma | 68,000 | $26,900 | Cars.com dealer | https://...
Net outcome
| Conservative | Expected | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resale | $9,020 | $9,804 | $10,392 |
| Net profit / loss | $-7,928 | $-7,144 | $-6,556 |
| Return on cash | -47.2% (-31.5%/yr) | -42.5% (-28.4%/yr) | -39.0% (-26.0%/yr) |
Cost lines (total $16,948, cash invested $16,798)
| purchase price | $12,999 |
| sales tax | $1,219 |
| registration title | $350 |
| inspection | $150 |
| immediate repairs | $1,000 |
| holding costs | $1,080 |
| financing interest | $0 |
| selling prep | $150 |
| selling fees | $0 |
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History
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