2014 BMW 428i convertible only 63k miles clean title with free warranty & financing
$16,988
-42.1% over (target 20%)
63000
2014 BMW 428i convertible only 63k miles clean title with free warranty & financing
Alameda, CA
apify (facebook)
Nov 01 17:52
clean / unknown
private
—
status: comp
Verdict: Overpriced
- Asking $16,988 vs $11,959 adjusted market value from 7 comps (low confidence).
- 42% over market; a fair ask is about $11,959 and your buy price $9,567.
- Private seller: more room to negotiate, no dealer fees.
- Comps disagree (spread 341.1%), so the market value is soft.
Risks
medium Accident history unverified: no report attached
medium No VIN: cannot decode or run a history report
medium Comparables disagree (spread 341.1%)
medium Expected net $-11,407 is below your minimum $1,000
Valuation confidence: low
$11,959
$9,904
$9,112 / $10,499
7 · 341.1% · 0.0 days
10.0%/yr (default; add more listings of this model to fit a curve)
condition ×1.0, title ×1.0, accident ×0.97, hold ×0.854, ask→sale ×0.97
Basis: median of 7 adjusted asking-price comps.
Comparables are asking prices, not verified transactions. Title and accident history are unverified unless a report was attached. Market conditions can change over the hold period; this is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Comparables (asking prices, adjusted to this vehicle)
| Comp | Asking | Adjusted | Adjustments | Seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 BMW 428i 82000 mi · private · apify · San Jose, CA |
$10,000 | $11,140 | mileage 82,000->63,000: +1,140 | Nov 01 17:52 |
| 2015 BMW 428i 65000 mi · private · apify · Aptos, CA |
$13,000 | $12,262 | mileage 65,000->63,000: +120; year 2015->2014: x0.93 | Nov 01 17:52 |
| 2014 BMW 428i Convertible CLEAN TITLE LOW MILES with FINANCING AVAILABLE & FREE WARRANTY 63000 mi · private · apify · Alameda, CA |
$16,988 | $16,988 | mileage 63,000->63,000: +0 | Nov 01 17:52 |
| 2014 BMW 428i convertible only 63k miles clean title with free warranty & financing 2014000 mi · private · facebook · Alameda, CA |
$15,988 | $133,048 | mileage 2,014,000->63,000: +117,060 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2014 BMW 428i convertible clean title low miles with financing available & free warranty 2014 mi · private · facebook · Alameda, CA |
$15,988 | $12,329 | mileage 2,014->63,000: -3,659 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2015 BMW 428i gran coupe xdrive awd/4wd ? mi · private · facebook · Wilsonville, OR |
$13,999 | $13,083 | year 2015->2014: x0.93 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2015 BMW 428i gran coupe ? mi · private · facebook · Las Vegas, NV |
$12,900 | $12,056 | year 2015->2014: x0.93 | Oct 27 07:10 |
Add comparables (CCC-style paste)
One per line: year make model | mileage | price | site | url. Example: 2019 Toyota Tacoma | 68,000 | $26,900 | Cars.com dealer | https://...
Net outcome
| Conservative | Expected | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resale | $9,112 | $9,904 | $10,499 |
| Net profit / loss | $-12,199 | $-11,407 | $-10,812 |
| Return on cash | -57.6% (-38.4%/yr) | -53.9% (-35.9%/yr) | -51.1% (-34.1%/yr) |
Cost lines (total $21,311, cash invested $21,161)
| purchase price | $16,988 |
| sales tax | $1,593 |
| registration title | $350 |
| inspection | $150 |
| immediate repairs | $1,000 |
| holding costs | $1,080 |
| financing interest | $0 |
| selling prep | $150 |
| selling fees | $0 |
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Description
63K miles · Dealership