2015 BMW 428i
$13,000
1.3% under (target 20%)
65000
2015 BMW 428i
Aptos, CA
apify (facebook)
Nov 06 18:04
unknown / unknown
private
—
status: new
Verdict: Fairly priced
- Asking $13,000 vs $13,172 adjusted market value from 5 comps (low confidence).
- Within 1% of market: no edge unless the seller comes down to $10,538.
- Private seller: more room to negotiate, no dealer fees.
- Title status not stated; confirm it is clean before trusting the value.
- Comps disagree (spread 365.2%), so the market value is soft.
Risks
medium Title status not stated: verify before paying anything
medium Accident history unverified: no report attached
medium No VIN: cannot decode or run a history report
medium Comparables disagree (spread 365.2%)
medium Expected net $-6,040 is below your minimum $1,000
Valuation confidence: low
$13,172
$10,909
$10,036 / $11,563
5 · 365.2% · 0.0 days
10.0%/yr (default; add more listings of this model to fit a curve)
condition ×1.0, title ×0.97, accident ×0.97, hold ×0.854, ask→sale ×0.97
Basis: median of 5 adjusted asking-price comps.
Comparables are asking prices, not verified transactions. Title and accident history are unverified unless a report was attached. Market conditions can change over the hold period; this is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Comparables (asking prices, adjusted to this vehicle)
| Comp | Asking | Adjusted | Adjustments | Seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 BMW 428i Convertible CLEAN TITLE LOW MILES with FINANCING AVAILABLE & FREE WARRANTY 63000 mi · private · apify · Alameda, CA |
$16,988 | $18,049 | mileage 63,000->65,000: -120; year 2014->2015: x1.07 | Nov 01 17:52 |
| 2014 BMW 428i convertible only 63k miles clean title with free warranty & financing 2014000 mi · private · facebook · Alameda, CA |
$15,988 | $142,233 | mileage 2,014,000->65,000: +116,940; year 2014->2015: x1.07 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2014 BMW 428i convertible clean title low miles with financing available & free warranty 2014 mi · private · facebook · Alameda, CA |
$15,988 | $13,063 | mileage 2,014->65,000: -3,779; year 2014->2015: x1.07 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2015 BMW 428i gran coupe xdrive awd/4wd ? mi · private · facebook · Wilsonville, OR |
$13,999 | $13,999 | — | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2015 BMW 428i gran coupe ? mi · private · facebook · Las Vegas, NV |
$12,900 | $12,900 | — | Oct 27 07:10 |
Add comparables (CCC-style paste)
One per line: year make model | mileage | price | site | url. Example: 2019 Toyota Tacoma | 68,000 | $26,900 | Cars.com dealer | https://...
Net outcome
| Conservative | Expected | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resale | $10,036 | $10,909 | $11,563 |
| Net profit / loss | $-6,913 | $-6,040 | $-5,386 |
| Return on cash | -41.2% (-27.4%/yr) | -36.0% (-24.0%/yr) | -32.1% (-21.4%/yr) |
Cost lines (total $16,949, cash invested $16,799)
| purchase price | $13,000 |
| sales tax | $1,219 |
| registration title | $350 |
| inspection | $150 |
| immediate repairs | $1,000 |
| holding costs | $1,080 |
| financing interest | $0 |
| selling prep | $150 |
| selling fees | $0 |
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History
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Description
65K miles