2015 Ford Mustang
$8,000
52.4% under (target 20%)
45000
2015 Ford Mustang
Santa Rosa, CA
apify (facebook)
Nov 06 17:52
unknown / unknown
private
—
status: new
Verdict: Underpriced
- Asking $8,000 vs $16,821 adjusted market value from 58 comps (medium confidence).
- That is 52% under market, above your 20% target.
- Far below every comp: see the car, VIN and title in person before paying anything.
- Mileage 45,000 is 36% below the comps' median 69,950, which supports a higher price.
- Private seller: more room to negotiate, no dealer fees.
- Title status not stated; confirm it is clean before trusting the value.
- Comps disagree (spread 24.5%), so the market value is soft.
Risks
medium Title status not stated: verify before paying anything
medium Accident history unverified: no report attached
medium No VIN: cannot decode or run a history report
high Asking price far below comparables: common scam pattern, verify in person
medium Comparables disagree (spread 24.5%)
Valuation confidence: medium
$16,821
$15,708
$14,452 / $16,651
58 · 24.5% · 0.0 days
2.5%/yr (fitted from 239 listings across 15 model years)
condition ×1.0, title ×0.97, accident ×0.97, hold ×0.963, ask→sale ×0.97
Basis: median of 58 adjusted asking-price comps.
Comparables are asking prices, not verified transactions. Title and accident history are unverified unless a report was attached. Market conditions can change over the hold period; this is an estimate, not a guarantee. 2 comp(s) priced far below the rest were excluded as likely bait.
Comparables (asking prices, adjusted to this vehicle)
| Comp | Asking | Adjusted | Adjustments | Seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 Ford Mustang · EcoBoost Premium Coupe 2D 62000 mi · private · apify · Santa Rosa, CA |
$16,000 | $17,020 | mileage 62,000->45,000: +1,020 | Nov 01 17:43 |
| 2015 Ford mustang v6 convertible 58000 mi · private · apify · Stockton, CA |
$17,900 | $18,680 | mileage 58,000->45,000: +780 | Nov 01 17:43 |
| 2017 Ford Mustang · EcoBoost Premium Convertible 2D 76000 mi · private · apify · Sacramento, CA |
$11,950 | $12,062 | mileage 76,000->45,000: +1,860; year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Nov 01 17:43 |
| 2015 Ford Mustang 79000 mi · private · apify · Stockton, CA |
$10,950 | $12,990 | mileage 79,000->45,000: +2,040 | Nov 01 17:43 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang GT 50231 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$27,998 | $23,245 | mileage 50,231->45,000: +314; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang GT Premium 79560 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$29,900 | $26,251 | mileage 79,560->45,000: +2,074; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang GT Premium 27359 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$29,888 | $23,670 | mileage 27,359->45,000: -1,058; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang GT Premium 35311 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$29,688 | $27,360 | mileage 35,311->45,000: -581; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang GT Premium 58408 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$27,984 | $27,061 | mileage 58,408->45,000: +804; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang GT Premium 69575 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$27,650 | $23,912 | mileage 69,575->45,000: +1,474; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang GT 75127 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$26,998 | $23,650 | mileage 75,127->45,000: +1,808; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang GT Premium 81738 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$24,575 | $25,173 | mileage 81,738->45,000: +2,204; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang GT 50858 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$24,258 | $23,133 | mileage 50,858->45,000: +351; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang Ecoboost Premium 22840 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$23,998 | $18,611 | mileage 22,840->45,000: -1,330; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang Ecoboost Premium 44024 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$22,998 | $18,834 | mileage 44,024->45,000: -59; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang Ecoboost 47145 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$20,998 | $17,346 | mileage 47,145->45,000: +129; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang Ecoboost Premium 68163 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$19,998 | $17,560 | mileage 68,163->45,000: +1,390; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Certified 2017 Ford Mustang ECOBOOST PREMIUM 47923 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$19,250 | $15,949 | mileage 47,923->45,000: +175; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang EcoBoost Premium 72846 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$19,195 | $18,331 | mileage 72,846->45,000: +1,671; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 33716 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$18,865 | $14,933 | mileage 33,716->45,000: -677; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang EcoBoost Premium 59919 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$18,492 | $17,032 | mileage 59,919->45,000: +895; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 68819 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$18,384 | $17,406 | mileage 68,819->45,000: +1,429; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang EcoBoost Premium 72101 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$17,999 | $17,241 | mileage 72,101->45,000: +1,626; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang V6 58910 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$17,900 | $17,611 | mileage 58,910->45,000: +835; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang EcoBoost Premium 84439 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$16,925 | $15,839 | mileage 84,439->45,000: +2,366; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 76635 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$16,856 | $16,476 | mileage 76,635->45,000: +1,898; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 71833 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$16,599 | $14,950 | mileage 71,833->45,000: +1,610; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 82559 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$15,995 | $16,031 | mileage 82,559->45,000: +2,254; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang EcoBoost Premium 75080 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$15,907 | $16,649 | mileage 75,080->45,000: +1,805; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang V6 79479 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,990 | $14,006 | mileage 79,479->45,000: +2,069; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang V6 84919 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,969 | $16,322 | mileage 84,919->45,000: +2,395; dealer ask: x0.94 | Nov 01 07:23 |
| 2016 Ford mustang GT Coupe 2D ? mi · private · facebook · San Francisco, CA |
$26,000 | $24,299 | year 2016->2015: x0.93 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2017 Ford mustang GT ? mi · private · facebook · Hayward, CA |
$23,000 | $20,089 | year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2017 Ford mustang GT ? mi · private · facebook · Hayward, CA |
$23,000 | $20,089 | year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2017 Ford mustang GT ? mi · private · facebook · Alamo, CA |
$20,000 | $17,469 | year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2013 Ford mustang GT Premium ? mi · private · facebook · Martinez, CA |
$19,000 | $21,753 | year 2013->2015: x1.14 | Nov 01 07:22 |
| 2017 Ford mustang GT Premium Coupe 2D ? mi · private · facebook · Rancho Cucamonga, CA |
$26,000 | $22,709 | year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Oct 31 07:18 |
| 2014 Ford mustang Convertible 2D ? mi · private · facebook · Malibu, CA |
$14,000 | $14,980 | year 2014->2015: x1.07 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2016 Ford mustang 🔥 ? mi · private · facebook · Folsom, CA |
$18,121 | $16,936 | year 2016->2015: x0.93 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2017 Ford mustang Eco Boost ? mi · private · facebook · Fresno, CA |
$17,203 | $15,026 | year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2016 Ford mustang GT Premium Coupe 2D ? mi · private · facebook · Fresno, CA |
$26,000 | $24,299 | year 2016->2015: x0.93 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2015 Ford mustang GT ? mi · private · facebook · San Fernando, CA |
$30,000 | $30,000 | — | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2015 Ford mustang V6 Coupe 2D ? mi · private · facebook · Oxnard, CA |
$18,000 | $18,000 | — | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2017 Ford mustang EcoBoost ? mi · private · facebook · Norco, CA |
$18,780 | $16,403 | year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2015 Ford mustang Gt premium ? mi · private · facebook · Sacramento, CA |
$29,000 | $29,000 | — | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2017 Ford mustang GT Coupe 2D ? mi · private · facebook · Palmdale, CA |
$30,000 | $26,203 | year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| 2017 Ford mustang EcoBoost 69950 mi · private · facebook · Modesto, CA |
$14,500 | $13,972 | mileage 69,950->45,000: +1,497; year 2017->2015: x0.87 | Oct 31 07:17 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang V6 52650 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$20,198 | $19,418 | mileage 52,650->45,000: +459; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang Ecoboost Premium 80386 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$19,998 | $19,434 | mileage 80,386->45,000: +2,123; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang V6 47520 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$19,199 | $16,999 | mileage 47,520->45,000: +151; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang 77724 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$17,998 | $18,764 | mileage 77,724->45,000: +1,963; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 77058 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$17,494 | $17,058 | mileage 77,058->45,000: +1,923; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| Used 2017 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 77740 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$17,193 | $15,729 | mileage 77,740->45,000: +1,964; year 2017->2015: x0.87; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| Used 2015 Ford Mustang EcoBoost 72598 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,490 | $15,177 | mileage 72,598->45,000: +1,656; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| Used 2016 Ford Mustang GT Premium 49288 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$28,969 | $25,675 | mileage 49,288->45,000: +257; year 2016->2015: x0.93; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 31 07:15 |
| 2016 Ford mustang ecoboost 🤘 ? mi · private · facebook · North Las Vegas, NV |
$18,999 | $17,756 | year 2016->2015: x0.93 | Oct 31 00:59 |
| 2016 Ford mustang gt premium ? mi · private · facebook · Ladera Ranch, CA |
$29,900 | $27,944 | year 2016->2015: x0.93 | Oct 30 07:19 |
| 2015 Ford mustang EcoBoost Premium Coupe 2D ? mi · private · facebook · Turlock, CA |
$17,999 | $17,999 | — | Oct 30 07:19 |
Add comparables (CCC-style paste)
One per line: year make model | mileage | price | site | url. Example: 2019 Toyota Tacoma | 68,000 | $26,900 | Cars.com dealer | https://...
Net outcome
| Conservative | Expected | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resale | $14,452 | $15,708 | $16,651 |
| Net profit / loss | $2,972 | $4,228 | $5,171 |
| Return on cash | 26.2% (17.5%/yr) | 37.3% (24.9%/yr) | 45.6% (30.4%/yr) |
Cost lines (total $11,480, cash invested $11,330)
| purchase price | $8,000 |
| sales tax | $750 |
| registration title | $350 |
| inspection | $150 |
| immediate repairs | $1,000 |
| holding costs | $1,080 |
| financing interest | $0 |
| selling prep | $150 |
| selling fees | $0 |
Re-run with your numbers
Contact the seller
Drafts only. You approve every message. The app can send email itself; for Facebook or Craigslist you copy the approved text into the site.
History
Re-paste the same listing link when you notice a new price and it is recorded here; drops trigger alerts.
No actions yet.
Description
45K miles