2018 Ford Fusion
$275
98.1% under (target 20%)
10000
2018 Ford Fusion
Palo Alto, CA
apify (facebook)
Nov 01 17:22
unknown / unknown
private
—
status: rejected
Verdict: Too cheap: likely scam
- Asking $275 vs $14,313 adjusted market value from 19 comps (medium confidence).
- 98% under market is further below every comp than real sellers go. Treat as bait until you see the car and title in person.
- Mileage 10,000 is 68% below the comps' median 31,676, which supports a higher price.
- Private seller: more room to negotiate, no dealer fees.
- Title status not stated; confirm it is clean before trusting the value.
Risks
medium Title status not stated: verify before paying anything
medium Accident history unverified: no report attached
medium No VIN: cannot decode or run a history report
high Asking price far below comparables: common scam pattern, verify in person
Valuation confidence: medium
$14,313
$10,726
$9,868 / $11,370
19 · 13.0% · 0.0 days
15.8%/yr (fitted from 21 listings across 3 model years)
condition ×1.0, title ×0.97, accident ×0.97, hold ×0.773, ask→sale ×0.97
Basis: median of 19 adjusted asking-price comps.
Comparables are asking prices, not verified transactions. Title and accident history are unverified unless a report was attached. Market conditions can change over the hold period; this is an estimate, not a guarantee. 2 comp(s) priced far below the rest were excluded as likely bait.
Comparables (asking prices, adjusted to this vehicle)
| Comp | Asking | Adjusted | Adjustments | Seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Used 2016 Ford Fusion SE 48000 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$11,918 | $15,280 | mileage 48,000->10,000: +2,280; year 2016->2018: x1.14; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:56 |
| 2018 Ford fusion hybrid 18k mils only 20000 mi · private · apify · Live Oak, CA |
$14,650 | $15,250 | mileage 20,000->10,000: +600 | Oct 24 17:52 |
| 2018 Ford Fusion · Hybrid Sedan 4D 31000 mi · private · apify · Sacramento, CA |
$13,950 | $15,210 | mileage 31,000->10,000: +1,260 | Oct 24 17:52 |
| 2018 Ford Fusion Hybrid S 29000 mi · private · apify · Davis, CA |
$14,999 | $16,139 | mileage 29,000->10,000: +1,140 | Oct 24 17:52 |
| 2017 Ford Fusion 34000 mi · private · apify · San Jose, CA |
$9,200 | $11,385 | mileage 34,000->10,000: +1,440; year 2017->2018: x1.07 | Oct 24 17:52 |
| 2018 Ford Fusion · Titanium Ecoboost 25000 mi · private · apify · Sacramento, CA |
$11,500 | $12,400 | mileage 25,000->10,000: +900 | Oct 24 17:52 |
| 2018 Ford Fusion · Titanium EcoBoost 25000 mi · private · apify · Sacramento, CA |
$11,500 | $12,400 | mileage 25,000->10,000: +900 | Oct 24 17:52 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 18968 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$10,995 | $11,600 | mileage 18,968->10,000: +538; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 23275 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$9,995 | $10,854 | mileage 23,275->10,000: +796; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 38137 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$8,996 | $10,746 | mileage 38,137->10,000: +1,688; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Certified 2018 Ford Fusion S 47076 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,998 | $16,189 | mileage 47,076->10,000: +2,225; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2018 Ford Fusion SE 31676 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,900 | $15,229 | mileage 31,676->10,000: +1,301; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2018 Ford Fusion S 28154 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,700 | $14,842 | mileage 28,154->10,000: +1,089; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 48796 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,348 | $16,772 | mileage 48,796->10,000: +2,328; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 47556 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,346 | $16,696 | mileage 47,556->10,000: +2,253; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2018 Ford Fusion SE 45206 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$14,300 | $15,428 | mileage 45,206->10,000: +2,112; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 48024 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$13,018 | $15,388 | mileage 48,024->10,000: +2,281; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 49764 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,738 | $15,212 | mileage 49,764->10,000: +2,386; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
| Used 2017 Ford Fusion SE 28110 mi · dealer · firecrawl · |
$12,025 | $13,188 | mileage 28,110->10,000: +1,087; year 2017->2018: x1.07; dealer ask: x0.94 | Oct 24 17:51 |
Add comparables (CCC-style paste)
One per line: year make model | mileage | price | site | url. Example: 2019 Toyota Tacoma | 68,000 | $26,900 | Cars.com dealer | https://...
Net outcome
| Conservative | Expected | Optimistic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resale | $9,868 | $10,726 | $11,370 |
| Net profit / loss | $6,837 | $7,695 | $8,339 |
| Return on cash | 237.3% (158.2%/yr) | 267.1% (178.1%/yr) | 289.5% (193.0%/yr) |
Cost lines (total $3,031, cash invested $2,881)
| purchase price | $275 |
| sales tax | $26 |
| registration title | $350 |
| inspection | $150 |
| immediate repairs | $1,000 |
| holding costs | $1,080 |
| financing interest | $0 |
| selling prep | $150 |
| selling fees | $0 |
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History
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Description
10K miles